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PL | Arsenal v Leicester City | 11/08/17 19:45 BST | Sky Sports

  • Thread starter A_G
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Match Prediction


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Giroud

Established Member
I've always wondered about this whole are we better or not. May it be that yes we are giving away chances in better areas but also applying better pressure in those areas which in turn limits the area the striker of the ball can hit in turn making the shot more predictable and more likely to be saved.

In other words we force the striker of the ball more frequently to hit the area we want whereas before we applied less pressure giving him more areas to hit.

If our keeper is 90% more certain the ball can only going in one direction as opposed to 25% in each corner isn't he more likely to save it regardless of where it's hit from?

Wouldn't a keeper if told by a striker hitting the penalty I'm going to your right have a much better chance of saving it without that knowledge?

That is why you are better off looking at expected goals in the long run where these types of things average out over a big sample of shots. There is considerable variability on actual chance of scoring over a single shot or even game because the sample is small. Still even on single shots or games it remains a useful tool.

I'll PM you a great article on Burnleys overperformance of expected goals later on.
 

Mitch

Blonde Brigade Grand Wizard
no on, absolutely no one in professional punditry thinks we can get top 4 this season - that includes Wrighty.


They majority have pretty much have been saying that for 10 years, inclyding ths ex Arsenal.

Typical anit arsenal media agenda.
 

Sniper Mik

Not a Closet Sp**s Fan
Wenger - despite being of the opinion that transfer windows should close before the season starts, he leaves it late with signings.
Tbf I actually think that's one of the reasons why he wants it. Because he feels a lot of the important transfers get done late in the window which is why he wants the end of the window to coincide with the beginning of the season.
 

Axel9090

Well-Known Member
Wenger - despite being of the opinion that transfer windows should close before the season starts, he leaves it late with signings.
If it did get closed before the season, nothing would change. We'd still be getting outclassed by other teams in the window.
 
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