Country: England
Player:Saliba
Havertz has single handedly leapt us above them.
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Squares, circles and triangles : The 2023/24 statistic thread
- Thread starter hydrofluoric acid
- Start date
- Replies 403
- Views 21,914
Country: England
Player:Saliba
Country: England
Player:Saliba
This is the difference between your teams xG and their opponents. Quality or quantity? It's hard to tell. For example, a team can have 15 half chances without creating meaningful positions in the box, and have a better xG than a team who carves out 2 very clear cut opportunities and wins the game 2-0.
We're +0.8 on this chart which is good. But we're -3.5 on the difference between actual goals and expected goals.
Country: South Africa
Player:Nketiah
Yes, we are currently performing below our XG, which suggests that this attack has a gear to step up to.
On the XGA front, we are slightly trailing which suggests that we do have a good defensive setup so far.
Both metrics show that the team has room for improvement, but they are also show that we are trending in the right direction with our performances.
- Thread starter
- #284
Country: Iceland
Dennis_Bergkamp_10
Established Member
But mid table Mik is holding us back!
- Thread starter
- #286
Country: Iceland
He is turning sand into gold every season. Even now. Let him cook!
- Thread starter
- #287
Country: Iceland
- Thread starter
- #288
Country: Iceland
Country: South Africa
Player:Nketiah
The eye test and numbers are showing that we are moving in the right direction. If we maintain fitness to our key players, we’ll be right up there this season.
We just need to get going again, and build up some momentum.
We just need to get going again, and build up some momentum.
- Thread starter
- #290
Country: Iceland
- Thread starter
- #291
Country: Iceland
- Thread starter
- #292
Country: Iceland
- Thread starter
- #293
Country: Iceland
We are doing everything but scoring.
Country: South Africa
Player:Nketiah
Was going to come and post the ten game moving average for our XG difference @hydrofluoric acid, and I knew you’d beat me to it 
Yup, looking good man. We are creating the chances from open play and limiting them a great deal on the other side. Statistically now we are better than early 22/23.
But we must get our attacking combination play back where it should be on the pitch though as that’s where it matters.
Yup, looking good man. We are creating the chances from open play and limiting them a great deal on the other side. Statistically now we are better than early 22/23.
But we must get our attacking combination play back where it should be on the pitch though as that’s where it matters.
- Thread starter
- #295
Country: Iceland
Was going to come and post the ten game moving average for our XG difference @hydrofluoric acid, and I knew you’d beat me to it
Yup, looking good man. We are creating the chances from open play and limiting them a great deal on the other side. Statistically now we are better than early 22/23.
But we must get our attacking combination play back where it should be on the pitch though as that’s where it matters.
Still since Jesus came we have highest open play xG according to that stat. I find it very interesting. Guess everyone else is also struggling.
Dennis_Bergkamp_10
Established Member
Arteta haters in the mud again. We aren't finishing our chances but this narrative of us having a bad season is completely untrue. As most people knew.
Over a longer period of time, these things average out. We will be there. Also, we have Partey and Timber to return to the squad. Things are looking good.
Over a longer period of time, these things average out. We will be there. Also, we have Partey and Timber to return to the squad. Things are looking good.
HattoriHanzo
Active Member
Country: Croatia
We are having worse season than the last, now we are -7pts with respect to corresponding fixtures last season.
And I hope that you are right regarding averaging out.
Dennis_Bergkamp_10
Established Member
Averaging out in terms of xG, we should've score more vs. West Ham for instance yet we didn't, now we scored five vs. Palace. Yet people wanted to believe we were ****.
Football is a game of fine margins. We deserved to win Fulham (h) and West Ham (h), and for instance the game at Villa, we didn't deserve to lose there. That explains part of those -7 points. It doesn't mean we're worse than last year per se. We are still dominating teams and creating chances.
HattoriHanzo
Active Member
Country: Croatia
It doesn’t matter if you don’t score goals.
All this narrative that Arsenal deserved to win some match is irrelevant if they actually don’t win this match.
Scoring is very important in football, if you don’t score maybe you’re not so good as you think.
Also if Arsenal can’t win matches they deserve to win (as you said), what this tells us about Arsenal and their credentials to win something?
Champions usually win matches they don’t deserve to win, even when they don’t play well.
Dennis_Bergkamp_10
Established Member
It's not irrelevant. If we play the West Ham game 10 times, we're winning it 8 out of 10 at least. Sometimes things work out differently. Same goes for City - Palace, where they drew 2-2. Scoring goals requires a fair bit of luck too. Besides, it's not like we can't score goals at all, we put 5 past Crystal Palace, 5 past Sheffield United earlier in the season, 6 past RC Lens. Not the best teams in the world, but still, we can score goals. In fact, we scored 88 last year with roughly the same set of players.
We can win matches we don't deserve to win too, look at Luton (3-4) or Brentford (0-1), where we were extremely lucky to get all three points. Even Man Utd, it looked like we were going to lose 1-2 in the 87th minute.
I'm very confident that if the team performances over a longer period of time says more about a team than winning some game that you didn't deserve to win. You might not win the league, but you will challenge for it.
