Premier League 2018/19: The Fight for a CL Spot

[Rex Stone]

Five-Thirty Eight already has those two losses baked in, and Sp**s are still projected third. For them it all comes down to how they take to their new stadium.

My guess:
If Arsenal can win three of their away games they are in

If Sp**s win all of their home games, they are in.

If Chelsea can beat United and Liverpool, they are in.

If United can beat Chelsea and City... and Sp**s or arsenal slip up, they are in.

Also noticed : United and Arsenal play Cardiff and Burnley on final day, probably the last two teams fighting relegation at that point.

Sp**s right now have been lucky to get one point from their last four league games.

They’re in free fall right now, also the fact they’re now changing stadium mid season isn’t necessarily a good thing.

We struggled big time after we moved to the Emirates, as did West Ham which are the two most notable examples in recent years of changing stadium.

Having looked at it a little bit I think the magic number is 77. It might not get you third but it should get you top 4.

Decent chance you won’t get in with anything less.

 

[Penn_]

How are we only one point behind title challengers Sp**s.

 

[bojed]

We can still win the league, mathematically speaking.

 

[hydrofluoric acid]

The quicker we get four wins the better!

 

[AfterTheEraEnds]

This has set up nicely for us but I feel that our fixture list is not easy as some might have you believe. I feel we would need 15 points (75)to make the top 4. Chelsea, Sp**s , Utd and us are not consistent enough that we can win more than 5 games out of 8. So 5 wins it is. And we should get those next 3 wins as early as possible, that is in our next 3 games. 1 home and 2 away. That would put us in a very very comfortable position mentally as well as point wise compared to the other teams. And Arsenal fans can get that breather.
If i have to breakdown our games based on the difficulty and when we are playing who, i would list them as below.
1.Home to Newcastle, Away to Everton and Watford. Possibly the least pressure games we can win considering these are our next 3 games. Less pressure, and i feel somehow we have the better chance of winning these 2 away games.
2. Home to Palace and Brighton, Away to Leicester. Palace and Leicester are tricky games , can see us dropping points in one of these 2 games.
3.Away to Wolves and Burnley on the last game are going to be very very tough. Getting anything out of these games is a bonus. These are our most difficult games. The race for top 4 would have ended for one or two teams and very tight for the remaining teams, at this stage.

Anyway, lets see how it goes. I am gonna come back to this post and find I was completely wrong.

Next 3 games, must win.

 

[blaze_of_glory]

How are we only one point behind title challengers Sp**s.

Wow just like that we're back in the title race!

 

[Jasard]

Can't believe they are still 3rd after losing 9 games

 

[lamby22]

Can't believe they are still 3rd after losing 9 games

Title challengers and they've lost almost 1/3 of their games

 

[say yes]

Another decent statistician predicting 4th place for us (with a reasonable chance of 3rd).

 

[blaze_of_glory]

Can't believe they are still 3rd after losing 9 games

Just goes to show how important wins are vs draws.

 

[say yes]

Just goes to show how important wins are vs draws.

Yep, worth three times as much to me.

 

[blaze_of_glory]

Yep, worth three times as much to me.

More or less the same for me tbh.

 

[Notorious Big]

Doubt that Chelsea will get top 4,too many tough away games.Sp**s has City and Liverpool,but apart from that have easy games.We and Sp**s are favourites for top 4 imo.

 

[Preacher]

Doubt that Chelsea will get top 4,too many tough away games.Sp**s has City and Liverpool,but apart from that have easy games.We and Sp**s are favourites for top 4 imo.

As far as I remember West Ham have Sp**s number in the recent times, so that game also won't be easy for them.

 

[Taylor Gang Gunners]

Can’t wait till Chelski are dead and burried. They seemingly **** up every other week yet always are in with a chance. Damn Hazard.

 

[Notorious Big]

As far as I remember West Ham have Sp**s number in the recent times, so that game also won't be easy for them.

Yeah,they did well against top 6 sides.

 

[Dregen57]

Tottenham and Chelsea out, Arsenal and United in.,at the top4,

 

[Artisan]

The ideal scenario is us and Chelsea getting into top four, right? With them having a transfer ban they won't be able to benefit while it would hamper the other two in the transfer market.

 

[SingmeasongSong]

Doubt that Chelsea will get top 4,too many tough away games.Sp**s has City and Liverpool,but apart from that have easy games.We and Sp**s are favourites for top 4 imo.

Ffs, anyone noticed everyone has Everton in their list ? Poor fellas

 

[SingmeasongSong]

The ideal scenario is us and Chelsea getting into top four, right? With them having a transfer ban they won't be able to benefit while it would hamper the other two in the transfer market.

It's also the most likable outcome - let's face it, for most of us there is nothing like beating Sp**s and ManU